The prediction markets shown on this page were independently selected by CNBC editors. CNBC has a commercial relationship with Kalshi and may receive a user acquisition fee if you establish a new ...

The stock-market-timing indicator with the best long-term predictive record has just risen to its highest — and most bearish — level ever. I’m referring to the average U.S. household’s allocation to U ...

A dangerous, unregulated form of gambling that allows for degenerate betting on real events, unfettered by the economic and legal rules that keep stock markets and sports betting in check, creating an ...

Investment firm Bernstein estimates that by 2030, prediction market volumes will surge to roughly $1 trillion. Dollar volumes on the markets surged in 2024, spurred by the U.S. presidential election, ...

The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder look to complete the four-game sweep when they visit the eighth-seeded Phoenix Suns in Game 4 of their Western Conference first-round playoff matchup on Monday ...

While prediction markets are booming – allowing anyone to bet on nearly everything from sports to elections to who’s going to win season 50 of “Survivor” – the little-known federal agency that ...

A matchup between a pair of NL postseason teams from a year ago will take place on Monday's MLB schedule as the Chicago Cubs visit the Philadelphia Phillies. Chicago (7-8) defeated Pittsburgh on ...

Dubious data sets are being used to train artificial-intelligence models that are designed to predict people’s risk of stroke and diabetes, researchers report in a preprint 1 on medRxiv. Some of the ...

Sam Henry Lazarus is a research associate and special assistant to the President at the Council on Foreign Relations. In the words of President Donald Trump, “The whole world, unfortunately, has ...

This article was co-authored with Emma Myer, a student at Washington and Lee University who studies Cognitive/Behavioral Science and Strategic Communication. In today’s digital age, social media has ...

Prediction markets let people wager on just about anything — from basketball games to elections. And among more jarring bets recently, the fate of the U.S. and Israel's war against Iran. Shortly ahead ...

Bitcoin has bounced since plunging to lows of $60,000 per bitcoin in early February, adding 20% in what some think could be just the beginning of a bitcoin price boom. Sign up now for CryptoCodex—A ...